Climate Risk Profile: Twelve Mile Creek, NSW
Twelve Mile Creek, NSW, faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate and expected to increase. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Twelve Mile Creek Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Twelve Mile Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Twelve Mile Creek
Flood
The area is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
The area has a moderate risk of bushfires due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
The area is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Twelve Mile Creek is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Twelve Mile Creek
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The area is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
The area is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Twelve Mile Creek is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is very low.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area has a moderate risk of bushfires due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price decreases.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value.
- 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in improved drainage infrastructure and levees to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Reduction
Near-termUndertake vegetation management and controlled burns to reduce fuel loads and minimize bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures they can take to protect themselves and their properties.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Twelve Mile Creek's Climate Risk Profile
Twelve Mile Creek is a rural locality in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for the area are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the potential for heavy rainfall events and the presence of nearby waterways. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. This can damage property, disrupt infrastructure, and pose a threat to human safety.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with rising average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events. This can lead to heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further exacerbate the impacts of heatwaves in built-up areas.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding vegetation providing fuel for potential fires. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to property and human life. While Twelve Mile Creek is not located near the coast, coastal hazards are not a significant concern for this inland locality.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. This includes investing in flood protection infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and managing vegetation to reduce bushfire risk. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is also essential to limit the long-term impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Twelve Mile Creek?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Twelve Mile Creek?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price decreases, while those in areas with lower climate risks may hold their value better.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and purchasing flood insurance.
How can I prepare for a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property?
Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.
Get your property's risk report
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections