Climate Risk Profile: Turrella, NSW
Turrella faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Cooks River increases its vulnerability to flooding, while urban density contributes to the urban heat island effect. Bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low.
Is Turrella Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Turrella
Flood
Turrella faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Cooks River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Turrella is relatively low due to the urban environment and lack of significant vegetation. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Limited vegetation
- ·Urban density
Heat
Turrella is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. The urban heat island effect could amplify temperatures, particularly in densely built areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risks are minimal in Turrella due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Turrella
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Turrella is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. The urban heat island effect could amplify temperatures, particularly in densely built areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Climate change
flood Risk
Turrella faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Cooks River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Coastal risks are minimal in Turrella due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Turrella is relatively low due to the urban environment and lack of significant vegetation. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Limited vegetation
- ·Urban density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurers may increase premiums for properties in flood-prone areas.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreIncrease Green Space
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Cool Roof Technologies
Long-termEncourage the use of reflective roofing materials to reduce heat absorption.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Community Heatwave Preparedness Plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to support vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Turrella's Climate Risk Profile
Turrella, located in the inner-south of Sydney, is susceptible to the impacts of climate change, particularly increased flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's location near the Cooks River makes it vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which could exacerbate flood risks in the area.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Turrella. The urban environment, characterized by concrete and limited green space, contributes to the urban heat island effect, trapping heat and raising temperatures. This can lead to increased heat stress for residents, particularly during summer months.
While the risk of bushfires is relatively low due to the suburb's urban setting, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential threat. Coastal risks are minimal due to Turrella's distance from the immediate coastline.
Adapting to these climate risks will require a combination of infrastructure improvements, community awareness programs, and individual actions. Measures to reduce flood risk, such as improved drainage and flood barriers, are essential. Increasing green space and implementing cool roof technologies can help mitigate the urban heat island effect. Residents can also take steps to prepare for heatwaves and other extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Canterbury-Bankstown Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Turrella?
The main climate change risks in Turrella are increased flooding due to its proximity to the Cooks River and more frequent and intense heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.
How will climate change affect property values in Turrella?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while properties that are more resilient to heatwaves may become more desirable.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Turrella?
The Canterbury-Bankstown Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including improving drainage infrastructure and increasing green space.
How can I prepare my home for heatwaves in Turrella?
You can prepare your home for heatwaves by installing air conditioning, using reflective window coverings, and ensuring adequate insulation.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Turrella?
You can find information about flood risks in Turrella on the Canterbury-Bankstown Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections