Climate Risk in Turners Flat, NSW
Turners Flat faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Manning River increases its vulnerability to flooding, while rising temperatures pose a threat during summer months. Bushfire risk is also present due to surrounding bushland.
Is Turners Flat Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Turners Flat, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Turners Flat
Flood
Turners Flat is located near the Manning River and its tributaries, making it susceptible to flooding. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and disrupt infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
Bushfire
The area surrounding Turners Flat has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot and windy conditions
Heat
Turners Flat experiences hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Increased temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Turners Flat is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Turners Flat
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Turners Flat experiences hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Increased temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Turners Flat is located near the Manning River and its tributaries, making it susceptible to flooding. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and disrupt infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
- ·Development in floodplains
coastal Risk
Turners Flat is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Turners Flat has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot and windy conditions
- ·Ignition sources
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to the increased risk of flooding and other climate-related events.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's bushfire risk.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of rising temperatures on energy costs.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve flood defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as providing cooling centers and outreach services.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreReduce bushfire risk
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as clearing vegetation around homes and conducting controlled burns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Turners Flat's Climate Risk Profile
Turners Flat, located in the Mid-Coast region of New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant threat is flooding, due to its location near the Manning River and its tributaries. Heavy rainfall events can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and disrupting infrastructure. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events predicted in the future.
Bushfire risk is also a concern for Turners Flat, as the suburb is surrounded by bushland. Dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions can create a high fire danger, threatening homes and properties. While the risk is not as high as in some other areas, it is still important to take precautions to protect against bushfires.
Rising temperatures are another climate-related challenge for Turners Flat. The suburb experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to lead to even hotter temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
While Turners Flat is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, it is still important to consider the potential impacts of climate change on the region as a whole. Sea level rise and coastal erosion could affect nearby coastal communities, potentially leading to displacement and economic disruption. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Mitigation involves reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow down the rate of climate change, while adaptation involves taking steps to prepare for the impacts that are already occurring and are expected to worsen in the future.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Mid-Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Turners Flat?
The main climate change risks for Turners Flat are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to the Manning River, while heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to rising temperatures. Bushfire risk is also present due to surrounding bushland.
How is the council preparing for climate change?
The Mid-Coast Council is developing and implementing strategies to address climate change, including measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving flood defenses, promoting water conservation, and reducing bushfire risk.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
There are several things you can do to protect your property from flooding, such as raising the level of your home, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage around your property. You can also check flood maps and historical flood data to assess your property's risk.
How can I prepare for a heatwave?
To prepare for a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned environments. You should also check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property?
If a bushfire threatens your property, you should follow the advice of the Rural Fire Service (RFS). This may include evacuating your property or taking steps to defend it. You should also have a bushfire survival plan in place.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Turners Flat, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections