Climate Risk in Tuncurry, NSW
Tuncurry is a coastal town in New South Wales facing increasing climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Tuncurry Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tuncurry, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tuncurry
Flood
Tuncurry faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Wallis Lake. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Tuncurry is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the potential for bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Tuncurry experiences increasing heatwave intensity and frequency. High humidity can exacerbate the effects of heat, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal erosion and inundation are growing concerns in Tuncurry due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to these impacts.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tuncurry
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tuncurry experiences increasing heatwave intensity and frequency. High humidity can exacerbate the effects of heat, posing risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tuncurry faces a notable risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Wallis Lake. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
Coastal erosion and inundation are growing concerns in Tuncurry due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to these impacts.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Tuncurry is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the potential for bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and coastal erosion.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for managing climate risks.
- 4.Obtain a comprehensive insurance quote.
- 5.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in improved drainage systems and levees to protect low-lying areas from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Coastal Management Plans
ImmediateDevelop and implement strategies to manage coastal erosion and protect vulnerable infrastructure.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a Heat Action Plan
Near-termCreate a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Bushfire Preparedness
Long-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around homes and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tuncurry's Climate Risk Profile
Tuncurry, located on the coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The town's low-lying geography makes it particularly susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and storm surges. Sea level rise is exacerbating coastal erosion, threatening infrastructure and natural habitats.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, especially during the humid summer months. The surrounding bushland also presents a moderate bushfire risk, which could intensify under drier conditions.
Climate projections indicate that these risks will continue to escalate in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more severe flooding events, while rising sea levels will further erode the coastline. Higher average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will place additional stress on the community.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. Investing in flood defenses, implementing coastal management plans, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions are crucial steps to protect Tuncurry and its residents from the worst impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
MidCoast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tuncurry?
The main climate change risks in Tuncurry are flooding, coastal erosion, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures, sea level rise, and changes in rainfall patterns.
How is the council preparing for climate change?
MidCoast Council is developing and implementing strategies to manage climate risks, including flood mitigation measures, coastal management plans, and heat action plans. They are also working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote sustainable development.
What can residents do to prepare for flooding?
Residents can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, developing a flood plan, elevating appliances, and ensuring they have adequate insurance coverage. It's also important to stay informed about weather forecasts and warnings.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
To protect your home from bushfires, clear vegetation around your property, maintain fire breaks, install fire screens on windows and doors, and have a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members. Seek medical attention if you experience symptoms of heat stress.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Tuncurry?
You can find more information about climate change impacts in Tuncurry on the MidCoast Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tuncurry, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Tuncurry's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections