Climate Risk in Tumbulgum, NSW
Tumbulgum faces significant flood risk due to its location on the Tweed River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, impacting the region.
Is Tumbulgum Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tumbulgum, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tumbulgum
Flood
Tumbulgum is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location on the Tweed River floodplain. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
The area experiences moderately high temperatures, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Coastal risks are present due to proximity to the Tweed River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tumbulgum
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The area experiences moderately high temperatures, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tumbulgum is highly susceptible to flooding due to its location on the Tweed River floodplain. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Coastal risks are present due to proximity to the Tweed River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to be high due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increasing flood risk.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees, flood barriers, and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing, fire breaks, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termCreate a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Coastal Resilience
Long-termImplement measures to protect against coastal erosion and sea level rise, such as beach nourishment and seawalls.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImprove Emergency Response
ImmediateEnhance emergency response capabilities, including evacuation plans, early warning systems, and community training.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Tumbulgum's Climate Risk Profile
Tumbulgum, nestled on the banks of the Tweed River in New South Wales, is a charming village with a rich history. However, its location also makes it highly vulnerable to flooding, which poses the most significant climate-related risk to the area.
The Tweed River has a history of flooding, and Tumbulgum has experienced several major flood events. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk, with increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise contributing to more frequent and severe floods. This can lead to property damage, displacement of residents, and disruption of essential services.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could exacerbate conditions. The area experiences moderately high temperatures, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Coastal risks are present due to proximity to the Tweed River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat. Residents should stay informed about weather warnings and emergency procedures.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Tweed Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Tumbulgum?
The main climate risks are flooding, bushfire, heatwaves and coastal erosion. Flooding is the most significant risk due to the location on the Tweed River floodplain.
How is climate change expected to impact Tumbulgum?
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including floods, bushfires, and heatwaves. Sea level rise will also pose a threat to coastal areas.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Tweed Shire Council has developed a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes measures to improve flood defenses, manage bushfire risk, and protect coastal areas.
How can I prepare for flooding in Tumbulgum?
You can prepare for flooding by developing a flood plan, purchasing flood insurance, and staying informed about weather warnings. It is also important to know your evacuation route and have an emergency kit ready.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Tumbulgum?
You can find more information on the Tweed Shire Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tumbulgum, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections