Climate Risk in Tumblong, New South Wales
Tumblong is a rural locality in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for hotter, drier conditions and potential disruptions from natural disasters.
Is Tumblong Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tumblong, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tumblong
Flood
Tumblong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Tumblong has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tumblong experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Tumblong is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tumblong
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tumblong experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (limited)
flood Risk
Tumblong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
Tumblong has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Abundant vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage limitations.
- 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in drainage infrastructure upgrades and construct flood levees to protect properties from inundation.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement vegetation management programs, conduct community education campaigns, and establish firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Management Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct community workshops and distribute educational materials to raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tumblong's Climate Risk Profile
Tumblong, NSW, is a small community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding due to its proximity to waterways and the increasing intensity of rainfall events. Bushfire risk is also significant, given the surrounding bushland and projected increases in hot, dry conditions.
Flooding events have historically impacted the region, and climate models suggest that these events will become more frequent and severe. This poses a threat to infrastructure, property, and the safety of residents. Implementing effective flood mitigation strategies is crucial for protecting the community.
Bushfire risk is another major concern. The combination of higher temperatures, reduced rainfall, and abundant vegetation creates ideal conditions for bushfires to ignite and spread rapidly. Residents need to be prepared for bushfire season and take steps to protect their homes and families.
Heatwaves are also expected to become more common and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Public health initiatives and community support networks are essential for mitigating the impacts of extreme heat.
Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, emergency services, and the community. Investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing effective land management practices, and raising awareness about climate change are all important steps towards building a more resilient future for Tumblong.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Cootamundra-Gundagai Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tumblong?
The main climate change risks in Tumblong are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating structures, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.
What should I do during a bushfire?
During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property by clearing vegetation and having a bushfire survival plan.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Tumblong?
You can find more information about climate change in Tumblong from the Cootamundra-Gundagai Regional Council, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections