Climate Risk Assessment for Tugrabakh, NSW
Tugrabakh faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Tugrabakh Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tugrabakh, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tugrabakh
Flood
Tugrabakh faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area around Tugrabakh has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Tugrabakh is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tugrabakh is not directly on the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tugrabakh
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tugrabakh is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tugrabakh faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Tugrabakh is not directly on the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
bushfire Risk
The area around Tugrabakh has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider energy efficiency
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a household emergency plan
ImmediateCreate a plan that outlines what to do in the event of a flood, bushfire, or heatwave. Include evacuation routes, emergency contacts, and a list of essential items.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove home energy efficiency
Near-termInstall insulation, upgrade to energy-efficient appliances, and seal drafts to reduce energy consumption and lower cooling costs during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreInvest in flood mitigation measures
Near-termConsider raising the foundation of your home, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage to reduce the risk of flood damage.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCreate a defensible space around your home
Long-termClear vegetation and remove flammable materials from around your home to reduce the risk of bushfire damage.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreSupport community resilience initiatives
Long-termParticipate in local efforts to prepare for and respond to climate change impacts, such as community gardens, neighborhood watch programs, and emergency preparedness training.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tugrabakh's Climate Risk Profile
Tugrabakh, located in New South Wales, is an area that will likely experience the impacts of climate change in the coming decades. The primary risks include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and the potential for bushfires.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can cause rivers to overflow and lead to flash flooding in low-lying areas. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall, further exacerbating this risk.
Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
While not directly on the coast, Tugrabakh could be indirectly affected by sea level rise and storm surges. Changes in weather patterns could also increase the risk of bushfires in the surrounding areas.
Residents and property owners should take steps to prepare for these risks, including developing emergency plans, investing in flood mitigation measures, and staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tugrabakh?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and the potential for bushfires.
How can I prepare my home for flooding?
Consider raising the foundation, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my property from bushfires?
Create a defensible space around your home by clearing vegetation and removing flammable materials.
Where can I find more information about local emergency services?
Visit the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website.
Will climate change affect my insurance premiums?
Yes, insurance premiums may increase due to the increased risk of extreme weather events.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections