Climate Risk in Tuckurimba, NSW

Tuckurimba, New South Wales· 2470
Updated May 2026

Tuckurimba faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Is Tuckurimba Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tuckurimba, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tuckurimba

Flood

Tuckurimba faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Tuckurimba is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Tuckurimba is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in Tuckurimba due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tuckurimba

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tuckurimba is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and increase energy demand.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tuckurimba faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying topography
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in Tuckurimba due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Tuckurimba is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry periods. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Reduce Bushfire Hazards

Near-term

Clear vegetation around properties and implement bushfire prevention measures to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tuckurimba's Climate Risk Profile

Tuckurimba, located in New South Wales, is projected to experience a changing climate with increased risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it vulnerable to flooding, which is expected to worsen with more intense rainfall events.

Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, particularly vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The surrounding bushland also presents a moderate risk of bushfires, which could become more frequent and intense due to drier conditions and higher temperatures.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Tuckurimba's inland location, the overall impact of climate change on the region is expected to be substantial. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changes and mitigate the risks.

These measures include improving flood defenses, implementing heatwave management plans, and reducing bushfire hazards. By working together, the community can build resilience and protect Tuckurimba from the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Tuckurimba?

The main climate change risks in Tuckurimba are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Tuckurimba?

Property values in Tuckurimba may be affected by increasing climate risks, particularly flooding and bushfires. Buyers should consider these risks when purchasing property.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding in Tuckurimba?

You can protect your home from flooding by improving drainage around your property, raising the foundation, and installing flood barriers.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Tuckurimba?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do during a bushfire in Tuckurimba?

During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your home by clearing vegetation and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Tuckurimba?

You can find more information about climate change in Tuckurimba from the local council, the NSW government, and the CSIRO.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tuckurimba, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Tuckurimba, NSW | ClimateNest