Climate Risk Profile: Tucabia, NSW
Tucabia faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events. Residents should prepare for hotter, wetter conditions.
Is Tucabia Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tucabia, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tucabia
Flood
Tucabia faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Tucabia has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tucabia is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tucabia has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may cause some inundation in low-lying areas near the Clarence River.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tucabia
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tucabia is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tucabia faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Tucabia has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise may cause some inundation in low-lying areas near the Clarence River.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
bushfire Risk
Tucabia has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
- 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement early warning systems
ImmediateDevelop and implement early warning systems for floods and heatwaves to allow residents to prepare and evacuate if necessary.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote heat-safe practices
Near-termEducate residents about heat-safe practices, such as staying hydrated, seeking shade, and avoiding strenuous activity during hot weather.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen building codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to require new buildings to be more resilient to climate change impacts, such as floods and bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Tucabia's Climate Risk Profile
Tucabia, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is vulnerable to several climate change impacts. The primary risks are associated with increased flooding due to its proximity to the Clarence River and the projected increase in rainfall intensity. Higher temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to the community.
The risk of flooding is expected to increase as climate change leads to more intense rainfall events. This can result in damage to property, infrastructure, and agricultural land. The community needs to be prepared for more frequent and severe flood events.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will impact the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Infrastructure may also be affected, with increased demand for energy and potential disruptions to essential services.
While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise could exacerbate flooding in low-lying areas near the Clarence River. It is important to monitor these risks and implement appropriate adaptation measures.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to limit the extent of future climate change. At the local level, measures such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing early warning systems, and promoting heat-safe practices can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tucabia?
The main climate change risks in Tucabia are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Tucabia?
Climate change may negatively impact property values in Tucabia due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Tucabia?
You can prepare for climate change by checking flood maps, assessing bushfire risk, ensuring adequate insurance coverage, and following heat-safe practices.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Tucabia?
You can find more information about climate change in Tucabia on the Clarence Valley Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Is Tucabia a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
Tucabia presents a moderate risk profile due to climate change. Potential investors should carefully consider the risks associated with flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves before making a decision. It's advisable to consult with local experts and review available climate data to make an informed choice.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections