Climate Risk in Tubbamurra, New South Wales

Tubbamurra, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Tubbamurra faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.

Is Tubbamurra Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tubbamurra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tubbamurra

Flood

Tubbamurra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Tubbamurra has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Tubbamurra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Tubbamurra is not located near the coast and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tubbamurra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tubbamurra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tubbamurra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Tubbamurra is not located near the coast and has a low risk of coastal hazards.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Tubbamurra has a high bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price decreases.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area status.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider insurance costs and availability.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire protection plan

Immediate

Create a plan to reduce bushfire risk, including clearing vegetation, establishing firebreaks, and conducting community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health information.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water through rainwater harvesting, efficient irrigation, and other water-saving measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tubbamurra's Climate Risk Profile

Tubbamurra is a suburb in New South Wales that is vulnerable to several climate change impacts. The primary risks are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. The surrounding bushland increases the bushfire risk, while increased rainfall intensity and inadequate drainage contribute to flood risk. Rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves.

Climate projections indicate that these risks will worsen in the coming decades. By 2030 and 2050, Tubbamurra is expected to experience higher temperatures, more extreme rainfall events, and a greater frequency of bushfires. These changes will have significant impacts on the community, including damage to property, disruption to infrastructure, and increased health risks.

It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changes. This includes implementing bushfire mitigation strategies, improving drainage infrastructure, and developing heatwave response plans. Individual households can also take steps to reduce their vulnerability, such as installing rainwater tanks, creating defensible spaces around their homes, and preparing emergency kits.

Addressing climate change requires a collaborative effort from all levels of government, businesses, and individuals. By working together, we can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Tubbamurra.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Tubbamurra?

The main climate change risks in Tubbamurra are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my home for bushfires?

You can prepare your home for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

You can find information about local flood risks on the local council's website or from the NSW State Emergency Service.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes measures to improve energy efficiency, promote renewable energy, and enhance community resilience.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tubbamurra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Tubbamurra's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections