Climate Risk Profile: Toolijooa, NSW

Toolijooa, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Toolijooa faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for these challenges by taking appropriate adaptation measures.

Is Toolijooa Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Toolijooa, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Toolijooa

Flood

Toolijooa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Toolijooa is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Toolijooa is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Toolijooa faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Toolijooa

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Toolijooa is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Toolijooa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Toolijooa faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Toolijooa is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heatwave resilience
  • 4.Evaluate coastal erosion risk

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and vegetation clearing.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection Measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the impact of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Toolijooa's Climate Risk Profile

Toolijooa, NSW, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is exposed to a range of hazards, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades as the climate continues to change.

Flooding is a significant concern for Toolijooa, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, causing damage to property and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these rainfall events, further exacerbating the risk of flooding.

The risk of bushfires is also a concern for Toolijooa, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves and droughts, further increasing the risk of bushfires.

Heatwaves are another significant threat to Toolijooa, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a greater risk to public health.

Coastal erosion and sea level rise also pose a threat to Toolijooa, particularly in areas close to the coast. These hazards can damage property and infrastructure, and can also lead to the loss of valuable coastal ecosystems. Climate change is expected to accelerate sea level rise and increase the intensity of coastal storms, further exacerbating these risks.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Toolijooa?

Toolijooa faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Toolijooa?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased climate risks.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Toolijooa?

You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, and you can also take steps to stay cool during heatwaves.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Toolijooa?

The council is developing a climate strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Toolijooa?

You can find more information on the council website, the NSW government website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Is Toolijooa a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While Toolijooa has many positive attributes, potential investors should carefully consider the identified climate risks and how they might impact property values and insurance costs in the long term. Researching specific property risks and council mitigation plans is highly recommended.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Toolijooa, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Toolijooa, NSW | ClimateNest