Climate Risk Profile: Tooleybuc, NSW
Tooleybuc is a rural town in NSW that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with increasing temperatures and more intense rainfall events projected for the future. Bushfire risk is also a concern.
Is Tooleybuc Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tooleybuc, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tooleybuc
Flood
Tooleybuc faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Tooleybuc is moderate. While the area is not heavily forested, grasslands and agricultural land can still pose a fire hazard, especially during dry and windy conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency of extreme fire weather.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tooleybuc experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Tooleybuc is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tooleybuc
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tooleybuc experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Inland location
flood Risk
Tooleybuc faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Low-lying topography
coastal Risk
Tooleybuc is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea-level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Tooleybuc is moderate. While the area is not heavily forested, grasslands and agricultural land can still pose a fire hazard, especially during dry and windy conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency of extreme fire weather.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Grassland vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and heatwaves.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Fire Safety Awareness
Near-termEducate residents on how to prevent bushfires and prepare their properties for fire season.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade Infrastructure
Long-termEnsure critical infrastructure, such as power and water supplies, is resilient to climate change impacts.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Tooleybuc's Climate Risk Profile
Tooleybuc, located in the Murray River region of New South Wales, is a community that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding from the Murray River and its tributaries, as well as the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
The risk of flooding is driven by the town's proximity to the Murray River and low-lying topography. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. This poses a threat to homes, businesses, and infrastructure in the area.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Tooleybuc. The town already experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is expected to make heatwaves more frequent, intense, and longer-lasting. This can have serious health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
While bushfire risk is moderate, it should not be ignored. Grasslands and agricultural land surrounding the town can become dry and flammable during hot and windy conditions, increasing the risk of bushfires. It is important for residents to be prepared and take steps to protect their properties.
Adapting to these climate risks will require a combination of strategies, including improving flood defenses, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting fire safety awareness. Community engagement and collaboration will be essential to ensure that Tooleybuc is resilient to the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Murray River Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tooleybuc?
The main climate change risks in Tooleybuc are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Tooleybuc?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding. Heatwaves may also make properties less desirable.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
You can take steps to protect your property from flooding, such as raising the foundation, installing flood barriers, and improving drainage.
How can I prepare for a heatwave?
You can prepare for a heatwave by staying hydrated, staying in air-conditioned environments, and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property?
If a bushfire threatens your property, you should evacuate immediately and follow the instructions of emergency services.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tooleybuc, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Tooleybuc's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections