Climate Risk in Tongarra, NSW
Tongarra faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, posing challenges for the community and infrastructure.
Is Tongarra Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tongarra
Flood
Tongarra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Tongarra is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tongarra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tongarra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tongarra
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tongarra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tongarra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Tongarra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Tongarra is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to climate hazards
- 3.Consider future climate projections
- 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade flood defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImprove bushfire management
Near-termImplement strategies to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop heatwave response plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect coastal areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect coastal properties from erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Tongarra's Climate Risk Profile
Tongarra, located in the Shellharbour region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to waterways and the coast increases its vulnerability to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising temperatures and drier conditions are also expected to elevate the risk of bushfires and heatwaves.
The primary concern for Tongarra is the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Climate change projections indicate a higher likelihood of heavy rainfall, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Sea level rise poses a threat to coastal properties and infrastructure, while hotter temperatures could strain the electricity grid and impact public health.
The local community and authorities need to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and developing heatwave response plans. Raising awareness among residents about climate risks and promoting sustainable practices are also crucial steps.
Furthermore, it is essential to consider climate change impacts in future planning and development decisions. This involves incorporating climate resilience into building codes, protecting natural ecosystems, and promoting sustainable land use practices. By taking these steps, Tongarra can reduce its vulnerability to climate change and create a more sustainable future.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shellharbour City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Tongarra?
Tongarra faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
How is climate change expected to impact Tongarra?
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change?
Residents can take steps to protect their properties, conserve water, and reduce their carbon footprint.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The council is implementing strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to climate impacts.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Tongarra?
You can find more information on the council website and the websites of relevant government agencies.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tongarra, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections