Climate Risk in Tomingley, NSW
Tomingley faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate heat risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heat events.
Is Tomingley Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tomingley, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tomingley
Flood
Tomingley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events that can cause local waterways to overflow. The risk is influenced by the area's topography and drainage systems.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development impacting drainage
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Tomingley is relatively high due to the surrounding vegetation and dry climate conditions, especially during the summer months. Grassfires are a significant concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry climate
- ·Accumulation of flammable vegetation
Heat
Tomingley experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant heat risk. Prolonged heatwaves can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwave events
Coastal
As an inland suburb, Tomingley has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tomingley
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tomingley experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant heat risk. Prolonged heatwaves can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwave events
flood Risk
Tomingley faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events that can cause local waterways to overflow. The risk is influenced by the area's topography and drainage systems.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development impacting drainage
coastal Risk
As an inland suburb, Tomingley has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Tomingley is relatively high due to the surrounding vegetation and dry climate conditions, especially during the summer months. Grassfires are a significant concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry climate
- ·Accumulation of flammable vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the combined risks of flood, bushfire and heat.
Price Impact
Properties in areas more exposed to bushfire risk may experience some price impact.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and drainage infrastructure.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property defensibility.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness Programs
ImmediateImplement community-based bushfire preparedness programs to educate residents on risk reduction and evacuation procedures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreWater Conservation Measures
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to address drought risks and ensure sustainable water resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tomingley's Climate Risk Profile
Tomingley, located in New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from heavy rainfall, bushfires due to dry vegetation, and heatwaves during the summer months.
The risk of flooding is moderate, with potential for local waterways to overflow during periods of intense rainfall. Effective drainage systems and appropriate land management practices are crucial for mitigating this risk.
Bushfire risk is elevated due to the surrounding vegetation and dry climate. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared for potential fire events. The NSW Rural Fire Service provides valuable resources and guidance.
Heatwaves pose a significant threat, particularly to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events are expected to increase this risk in the future. Staying hydrated, seeking cooler environments, and checking on neighbors are important strategies for managing heat stress.
While coastal risks are minimal due to Tomingley's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could still affect the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Tomingley?
The main climate risks in Tomingley are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare for a bushfire in Tomingley?
You can prepare for a bushfire by maintaining your property, creating a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire conditions.
What should I do during a heatwave in Tomingley?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find information about local flood risks in Tomingley?
Information about local flood risks can be obtained from the local council and the NSW State Emergency Service.
How is climate change expected to impact Tomingley in the future?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, floods, and bushfires in Tomingley, posing challenges for the community and local infrastructure.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections