Climate Risk Profile: Tolland, NSW
Tolland is a suburb in Wagga Wagga, NSW, facing moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and flooding events. Residents should prepare for these potential impacts.
Is Tolland Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tolland, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tolland
Flood
Tolland faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Tolland has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Tolland experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tolland is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tolland
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tolland experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tolland faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Tolland is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
Tolland has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to grasslands and bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Windy conditions
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate change impacts on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement community education programs on bushfire safety and property maintenance to reduce fire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreWater Conservation
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tolland's Climate Risk Profile
Tolland, located in Wagga Wagga, New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to heavy rainfall and potential river overflow, bushfire risk from surrounding grasslands and bushland, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.
The suburb's flood risk is driven by its location within the Murrumbidgee River catchment. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change projections indicate an increase in extreme rainfall events, potentially worsening the flood risk in the future.
Bushfire risk is also a significant concern, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. The presence of dry vegetation and strong winds can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. Residents need to be aware of bushfire safety measures and maintain their properties to reduce the risk.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Urban areas like Tolland can experience the urban heat island effect, further amplifying the heat during heatwave events.
While Tolland is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, can still affect the suburb. It is important for residents and businesses to adapt to these changing conditions and build resilience to climate-related risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Wagga Wagga
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Tolland?
The main climate risks in Tolland are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by clearing gutters and drains, raising electrical appliances, and having an evacuation plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
You can reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Wagga Wagga?
You can find more information about climate change impacts in Wagga Wagga on the City of Wagga Wagga website and the NSW Government's climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections