Climate Risk Assessment for Tiri, NSW

Tiri, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Tiri faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Tiri Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tiri, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tiri

Flood

Tiri faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Tiri is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Tiri is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

As a non-coastal suburb, Tiri's coastal risk is considered low, but sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the region through economic and infrastructure disruptions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tiri

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tiri is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tiri faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

As a non-coastal suburb, Tiri's coastal risk is considered low, but sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the region through economic and infrastructure disruptions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Tiri is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
  • 3.Review insurance coverage
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs and improve bushfire management practices.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tiri's Climate Risk Profile

Tiri, NSW, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change in the coming decades. The primary risks include increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves, more severe flooding events, and a heightened risk of bushfires. These changes will affect the local environment, infrastructure, and community well-being.

Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Residents should take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Flooding is another major concern for Tiri. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events, potentially damaging property and disrupting transportation networks. It is important for residents to be aware of flood risks and have appropriate insurance coverage.

Bushfire risk is also projected to increase, driven by hotter, drier conditions. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

While Tiri is not directly on the coast, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly impact the region through economic and infrastructure disruptions. Planning for these potential impacts is essential to ensure the long-term resilience of the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Tiri?

The main risks include increased heatwaves, more severe flooding, and a heightened risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Tiri?

Property values in high-risk areas may be negatively impacted due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy and implementing measures to mitigate flood risks and promote sustainability.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves?

Install air conditioning or fans, ensure adequate insulation, and stay hydrated during hot weather.

What should I do during a flood?

Stay informed about flood warnings, move to higher ground if necessary, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tiri, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Tiri's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Tiri, NSW | ClimateNest