Climate Risk Profile: Tinonee, NSW

Tinonee, New South Wales· 2430
Updated May 2026

Tinonee faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Manning River increases its flood vulnerability. Rising temperatures will exacerbate heatwave conditions.

Is Tinonee Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tinonee, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tinonee

Flood

Tinonee is located near the Manning River and is susceptible to flooding. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and properties close to the river.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise affecting river flow

Bushfire

Tinonee has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Grassfires and bushfires can pose a threat during dry periods with high winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Tinonee experiences hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Increased temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Tinonee is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are low. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not immediate concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tinonee

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tinonee experiences hot summers, with potential for heatwaves. Increased temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tinonee is located near the Manning River and is susceptible to flooding. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas and properties close to the river.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise affecting river flow
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
Data source

coastal Risk

Tinonee is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are low. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not immediate concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Tinonee has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Grassfires and bushfires can pose a threat during dry periods with high winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement community education programs and improve bushfire management practices.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Create heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to address potential water scarcity due to climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tinonee's Climate Risk Profile

Tinonee, located in the Mid Coast Council region of New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The most significant threat is flooding due to its location near the Manning River. Increased rainfall intensity and potential sea level rise could worsen flooding events, impacting properties and infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is present but relatively lower compared to other areas in NSW. Dry vegetation and high temperatures during summer months can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for potential fire threats.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

While Tinonee is not directly on the coast, it could experience indirect impacts from coastal hazards. Sea level rise may affect river flow and drainage, potentially exacerbating flooding. Residents should stay informed about local climate projections and adaptation strategies.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Tinonee?

The primary climate risks in Tinonee are flooding from the Manning River and increasing heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also present but relatively lower.

How can I prepare for floods in Tinonee?

You can prepare for floods by checking flood maps, having an evacuation plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. Stay informed about weather warnings and follow advice from emergency services.

What should I do during a heatwave in Tinonee?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.

Is Tinonee prone to bushfires?

Tinonee has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. It's important to maintain your property, be aware of fire danger ratings, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Tinonee?

You can find more information about climate change impacts from the Mid Coast Council, the Bureau of Meteorology, and the CSIRO. These organizations provide data, projections, and adaptation strategies.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tinonee, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Tinonee, NSW | ClimateNest