Climate Risk Assessment: Timbillica, NSW
Timbillica faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Timbillica Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Timbillica, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Timbillica
Flood
Timbillica faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
Bushfire
Timbillica has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Timbillica is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Timbillica is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Inland location
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Timbillica
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Timbillica is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Timbillica faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Proximity to waterways
- ·Low-lying areas
coastal Risk
Timbillica is not directly exposed to coastal risks. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this inland suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Inland location
bushfire Risk
Timbillica has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Higher temperatures
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve building standards for bushfire resistance
ImmediateImplement stricter building codes to ensure new and existing buildings are better protected from bushfires.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance flood management infrastructure
Near-termInvest in drainage improvements and flood control measures to reduce the impact of flooding in low-lying areas.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote community awareness and preparedness
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and provide resources to help them prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Timbillica's Climate Risk Profile
Timbillica, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to bushland makes it highly susceptible to bushfires, which are projected to become more frequent and intense due to drier conditions and higher temperatures.
Flooding is another significant concern, with increased rainfall intensity expected to worsen flood risks in low-lying areas. Heatwaves are also becoming more common, posing health risks to residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
While Timbillica is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader regional impacts of climate change can still affect the community. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow down the pace of climate change, while local adaptation measures can help protect the community from the immediate impacts of extreme weather events. These measures include improving building standards, enhancing emergency response capabilities, and promoting community awareness.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bega Valley Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Timbillica?
The main climate change risks in Timbillica are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire-resistant building materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
You can find information about local flood risks on the Bega Valley Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Bega Valley Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Visit their website for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Timbillica, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections