Climate Risk Assessment for The Lagoon, NSW

The Lagoon, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

The Lagoon faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is The Lagoon Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for The Lagoon, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for The Lagoon

Flood

The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Low-lying topography

Bushfire

The Lagoon has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

The Lagoon is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

The Lagoon is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for The Lagoon

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

The Lagoon is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Low-lying topography
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

The Lagoon is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The Lagoon has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased flood and bushfire risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider climate adaptation measures for the property.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Planning

Immediate

Develop and implement community-based bushfire preparedness plans, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Establish a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About The Lagoon's Climate Risk Profile

The Lagoon is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, as the suburb is surrounded by vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions associated with climate change are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.

Heatwaves are another growing threat, with climate change expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek shade, and avoid strenuous activity during heatwaves.

While coastal risks are minimal, the overall impact of climate change on The Lagoon is significant. Residents and property owners should take steps to adapt to these changes and mitigate their risks.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for The Lagoon?

The Lagoon faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades.

How will climate change affect property values in The Lagoon?

Increased flood and bushfire risk may negatively impact property values in The Lagoon. Buyers should carefully assess these risks before purchasing property.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and raising electrical appliances above flood level.

How can I prepare for a bushfire?

Clear vegetation around your home, create a bushfire survival plan, and have an emergency kit ready.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek shade, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in The Lagoon, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections