Climate Risk Profile: The Entrance, NSW
The Entrance faces notable risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to its coastal location and changing climate. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider long-term adaptation strategies. The overall risk is moderate, requiring proactive measures to mitigate potential impacts.
Is The Entrance Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for The Entrance, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for The Entrance
Flood
The Entrance is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Heavy rainfall and storm surges can lead to inundation of properties and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
While not as pronounced as other risks, The Entrance faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot temperatures
Heat
The Entrance experiences increasing heatwave intensity and frequency. Rising temperatures pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, The Entrance is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise. This can impact infrastructure, property values, and natural ecosystems.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for The Entrance
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
The Entrance experiences increasing heatwave intensity and frequency. Rising temperatures pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
The Entrance is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Heavy rainfall and storm surges can lead to inundation of properties and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, The Entrance is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise. This can impact infrastructure, property values, and natural ecosystems.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
While not as pronounced as other risks, The Entrance faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Hot temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Increasing premiums due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion zones.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premiums.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making purchasing decisions.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in infrastructure upgrades to protect against flooding, such as seawalls, levees, and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
Near-termImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Coastal Management
Near-termStrengthen coastal management strategies to address erosion and sea level rise, including beach nourishment and managed retreat.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout The Entrance's Climate Risk Profile
The Entrance, located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Its low-lying coastal geography makes it particularly susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall, storm surges, and rising sea levels. The risk is compounded by the proximity to Tuggerah Lake, which can exacerbate flooding during extreme weather events.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing significant health risks to residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban environment can amplify these effects, creating urban heat islands that further elevate temperatures.
Coastal erosion is another major concern, threatening infrastructure, property, and natural ecosystems along the coastline. Sea level rise is expected to worsen erosion rates, potentially leading to significant land loss and damage to coastal assets.
While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other hazards, the surrounding vegetation still poses a threat during hot, dry periods. Residents should remain vigilant and prepared for potential bushfire events. Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort involving local government, residents, and other stakeholders to implement effective adaptation and mitigation strategies.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for The Entrance?
The Entrance faces significant risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to its coastal location and changing climate.
How is the Central Coast Council addressing climate change?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including flood management and coastal protection measures.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves in The Entrance?
Residents can stay informed about heatwave warnings, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in The Entrance?
Detailed flood maps and information are available on the Central Coast Council website and through local emergency services.
Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in The Entrance?
Yes, there are local community groups and initiatives focused on environmental sustainability and climate action. Contact the Central Coast Council for more information.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections