Climate Risk in Tarriaro, NSW

Tarriaro, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Tarriaro faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. The risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Tarriaro Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tarriaro, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tarriaro

Flood

Tarriaro faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Tarriaro is high due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Tarriaro experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

As an inland suburb, Tarriaro has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tarriaro

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Tarriaro experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Tarriaro faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

As an inland suburb, Tarriaro has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Tarriaro is high due to its proximity to bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood and bushfire risk maps
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Consider long-term climate projections

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tarriaro's Climate Risk Profile

Tarriaro, NSW, is an inland suburb that faces increasing climate-related challenges. The primary risks are associated with flooding and bushfires, both of which are expected to become more frequent and intense due to climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity. Heavy rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. The local council is responsible for managing flood risks and implementing mitigation measures.

Bushfire risk is also high, particularly during the dry season. The proximity of Tarriaro to bushland increases the likelihood of bushfires, which can pose a threat to lives and properties. Residents need to be prepared and have bushfire survival plans in place.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and take precautions during periods of extreme heat.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Tarriaro's inland location, the suburb is still indirectly affected by broader climate change impacts, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Tarriaro?

The main climate risks in Tarriaro are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare for a flood in Tarriaro?

You can prepare for a flood by knowing your flood risk, having an emergency plan, and keeping your property clear of debris.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow your bushfire survival plan, stay informed, and evacuate if necessary.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activities.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Tarriaro?

You can find more information about climate change in Tarriaro on the local council website and the NSW government website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tarriaro, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Tarriaro's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections