Climate Risk in Taren Point, NSW

Taren Point, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire· 2229
Updated May 2026

Taren Point, NSW, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Is Taren Point Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Taren Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Taren Point

Flood

Taren Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Both riverine and flash flooding are potential concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. While not directly adjacent to large forests, ember attack is a potential threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Taren Point experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heat stress events projected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Located near the coast, Taren Point is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. The risk is moderate but requires ongoing monitoring and adaptation strategies.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Taren Point

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Taren Point experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heat stress events projected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Taren Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Both riverine and flash flooding are potential concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Located near the coast, Taren Point is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. The risk is moderate but requires ongoing monitoring and adaptation strategies.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. While not directly adjacent to large forests, ember attack is a potential threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value over time.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement safety measures.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review council planning documents for climate adaptation strategies.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement coastal protection measures

Long-term

Construct seawalls and restore natural coastal habitats to protect against erosion and sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide public awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement vegetation management programs and improve building standards in bushfire-prone areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Raise awareness about climate risks

Immediate

Educate residents about the impacts of climate change and encourage them to take proactive adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Taren Point's Climate Risk Profile

Taren Point, situated in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is a suburb with a mix of residential and commercial areas, and significant waterfront exposure. This location makes it vulnerable to several climate change impacts, most notably flooding and coastal erosion.

The risk of flooding is elevated due to the suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to the Georges River and Botany Bay. Increased rainfall intensity, a projected consequence of climate change, will likely exacerbate this risk, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Both riverine and flash flooding scenarios need to be considered in local planning.

Bushfire risk is present due to the proximity of bushland areas. While not as immediate a threat as flooding, ember attack from distant fires remains a concern, especially during dry and windy conditions. Maintaining vegetation and implementing fire safety measures are crucial.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can amplify this effect, creating urban heat islands. Adaptation strategies should include increasing green spaces and improving building design to reduce heat absorption.

Coastal erosion and sea level rise are significant long-term threats. The suburb's coastline is susceptible to erosion, and rising sea levels will increase the frequency and severity of inundation events. Protecting coastal assets and implementing managed retreat strategies may be necessary.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Taren Point?

The main risks include flooding, heatwaves, coastal erosion, and bushfire risk.

How is the council addressing flood risk in Taren Point?

The council is upgrading stormwater infrastructure and developing flood management plans.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to protect the coastline from erosion?

The council is implementing coastal protection measures and monitoring sea level changes.

How can I find out if my property is in a bushfire-prone area?

Check the NSW Rural Fire Service website for bushfire-prone land maps.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in the Sutherland Shire?

Visit the Sutherland Shire Council website or the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Taren Point, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Taren Point, NSW | ClimateNest