Climate Risk in Taree South, New South Wales
Taree South faces a medium level of climate risk, primarily driven by flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Manning River increases its vulnerability to flooding, while rising temperatures contribute to heat-related risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Taree South Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Taree South, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Taree South
Flood
Taree South faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Taree South is moderate. While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, the surrounding areas are susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Taree South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Taree South faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. The impact is less direct than for suburbs on the immediate coastline, but still relevant.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Taree South
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Taree South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Taree South faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Taree South faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. The impact is less direct than for suburbs on the immediate coastline, but still relevant.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Taree South is moderate. While not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, the surrounding areas are susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood and heat risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider bushfire risk mitigation measures.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood levees and drainage systems to protect properties from inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Coastal Protection
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surge.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreUpgrade Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Taree South's Climate Risk Profile
Taree South, located in the Mid Coast Council region of New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant threat is flooding, due to the suburb's location near the Manning River. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This can impact property values, infrastructure, and the safety of residents.
Heatwaves are another growing concern for Taree South. As average temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding areas susceptible to bushfires during dry periods. While Taree South is not immediately adjacent to dense bushland, embers can travel long distances, posing a threat to properties. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, further elevating this risk.
Coastal risks, while less direct than for coastal suburbs, are still relevant. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas, potentially impacting infrastructure and property values. Residents should stay informed about climate change projections and take steps to adapt to these changing conditions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
MidCoast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Taree South?
The main climate risks facing Taree South are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to the Manning River. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding areas susceptible to bushfires during dry periods.
How will climate change affect property values in Taree South?
Climate change is likely to negatively impact property values in Taree South due to increased flood and heat risks. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to flooding, while all properties are susceptible to the effects of heatwaves. Buyers may be hesitant to invest in areas with high climate risks, leading to a decline in property values.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change in Taree South?
Residents can take several steps to prepare for climate change, including checking flood maps and insurance costs, assessing their property's vulnerability to heatwaves, considering bushfire risk mitigation measures, and reviewing the council's climate adaptation plans. It is also important to stay informed about climate change projections and take steps to reduce their carbon footprint.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Taree South?
The MidCoast Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to address the impacts of climate change in Taree South. These plans include measures to improve flood defenses, develop heat action plans, enhance bushfire preparedness, and strengthen coastal protection. The council is also working to reduce its carbon footprint and promote sustainable development.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Taree South?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Taree South from the MidCoast Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, the NSW Rural Fire Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website. These resources provide information about flood maps, bushfire prone areas, heatwave forecasts, and climate change projections.
Is Taree South a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
Investing in property in Taree South requires careful consideration of climate change risks. While the area offers many benefits, potential buyers should be aware of the increasing risks of flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Assessing a property's specific vulnerability and taking appropriate mitigation measures is crucial. Consulting with local experts and reviewing council plans can help make an informed decision.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections