Climate Risk Profile: Taree, NSW

Taree, New South Wales· MidCoast· 2430
Updated Mar 2026

Taree faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Taree Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Taree, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Taree

Flood

Taree faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Taree is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase the severity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Taree experiences hot summers, and the frequency and intensity of heatwaves are expected to increase with climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Taree is located inland but is still influenced by coastal processes. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact the lower reaches of the Manning River, increasing the risk of inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Taree

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Taree experiences hot summers, and the frequency and intensity of heatwaves are expected to increase with climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Taree faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Taree is located inland but is still influenced by coastal processes. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact the lower reaches of the Manning River, increasing the risk of inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Taree is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Climate change is projected to lengthen the fire season and increase the severity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect against flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Near-term

Develop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of property damage and loss of life.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plans

Immediate

Implement heatwave response plans to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against coastal erosion and inundation, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Taree's Climate Risk Profile

Taree, located in the Mid Coast region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The town's proximity to the Manning River makes it particularly susceptible to flooding, with historical events demonstrating the potential for significant inundation. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, further elevating flood risk.

Bushfire risk is also a concern in Taree, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during dry periods. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts are expected to lengthen the fire season and increase the severity of bushfires, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are another significant hazard in Taree, with the town experiencing hot summers. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While Taree is located inland, it is still influenced by coastal processes. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact the lower reaches of the Manning River, increasing the risk of inundation and erosion. Planning for these changes is essential to protect the community and its assets.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Taree?

Taree faces significant risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Taree?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value, while insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Taree?

MidCoast Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to protect the community and its assets.

How can I prepare my home for extreme weather events in Taree?

You can prepare your home by implementing flood mitigation measures, clearing vegetation around your property, and developing a heatwave preparedness plan.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Taree?

You can find more information on the MidCoast Council website, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Taree, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections