Climate Risk in Tarban, NSW
Tarban faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, posing challenges for residents and infrastructure. Bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low.
Is Tarban Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tarban, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tarban
Flood
Tarban faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Tarban is relatively low due to the suburb's location and limited vegetation. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tarban is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk is low for Tarban due to its inland location. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tarban
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tarban is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tarban faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low for Tarban due to its inland location. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Tarban is relatively low due to the suburb's location and limited vegetation. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood risk and heatwave frequency.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency measures.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to protect vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote energy efficiency
Long-termEncourage energy efficiency measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termConduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tarban's Climate Risk Profile
Tarban, NSW, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire and coastal risks being less significant.
Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity and potential for flash flooding. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate these risks.
While bushfire risk is currently low, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk in the future. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Adaptation measures are necessary to mitigate the impacts of climate change. These include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting energy efficiency. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Parramatta Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Tarban?
The main climate change risks for Tarban are increased flooding and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Tarban?
Increased flood risk and heatwave frequency may negatively impact property values in Tarban.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Tarban?
Stay hydrated, stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Tarban?
The City of Parramatta Council is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting energy efficiency.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Tarban?
You can find more information about flood risks on the City of Parramatta Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tarban, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections