Climate Risk Profile: Tacoma South, NSW
Tacoma South faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Tacoma South Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tacoma South, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tacoma South
Flood
Tacoma South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Tacoma South is moderate due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Tacoma South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Tacoma South faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise. This includes potential inundation of low-lying areas and increased coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tacoma South
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tacoma South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tacoma South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Tacoma South faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise. This includes potential inundation of low-lying areas and increased coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Tacoma South is moderate due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area status
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
- 3.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to reduce flood risk during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
Near-termConduct regular vegetation clearing and controlled burns to reduce bushfire fuel loads.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen coastal protection measures
Long-termImplement coastal erosion control measures and protect coastal ecosystems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tacoma South's Climate Risk Profile
Tacoma South, located in the Central Coast region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its susceptibility to flooding, while surrounding bushland elevates the risk of bushfires. Rising temperatures are expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a threat to public health.
Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Increased rainfall intensity is likely to worsen flooding, while drier conditions and higher temperatures will increase the frequency and severity of bushfires. Sea level rise poses a threat to coastal areas, potentially leading to inundation and erosion.
Residents and property owners in Tacoma South should take steps to prepare for these challenges. This includes developing emergency plans, maintaining properties to reduce bushfire risk, and taking precautions during heatwaves. Community-level adaptation measures, such as improved drainage and bushfire management, are also essential.
The local council and state government are working to address climate change risks in the region. This includes developing climate adaptation strategies, investing in infrastructure improvements, and providing information and resources to the community. However, individual action is also crucial to building resilience to climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Tacoma South?
Tacoma South faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How will climate change affect property values in Tacoma South?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience decreased property values due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Tacoma South?
You can develop an emergency plan, maintain your property to reduce bushfire risk, take precautions during heatwaves, and stay informed about climate risks and adaptation measures.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Tacoma South?
The Central Coast Council is developing climate adaptation strategies, investing in infrastructure improvements, and providing information and resources to the community.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Tacoma South?
You can find more information on the Central Coast Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Is Tacoma South a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
While Tacoma South offers many benefits, potential investors should carefully consider the climate change risks and take appropriate adaptation measures. Consult with local experts and review available climate data before making a decision.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Tacoma South, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections