Climate Risk in Surfside, NSW
Surfside, NSW, faces a moderate overall climate risk. The suburb is particularly vulnerable to heatwaves and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Surfside Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Surfside, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Surfside
Flood
Surfside faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Surfside has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Surfside is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Surfside faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These hazards could impact infrastructure and property values.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Surfside
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Surfside is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Surfside faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Surfside faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. These hazards could impact infrastructure and property values.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Surfside has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Mitigation Measures
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks, to protect properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness Plan
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Protection Measures
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreAbout Surfside's Climate Risk Profile
Surfside, located in New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures, rising sea levels, and the potential for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flash flooding and riverine flooding. Residents should be aware of local flood warnings and have a plan in place.
Bushfire risk is also present, particularly during the dry season. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to exacerbate bushfire risk, potentially impacting properties located near bushland.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors during heatwaves.
Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and coastal erosion, also pose a threat to Surfside. These hazards could impact infrastructure, property values, and recreational areas along the coast.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Surfside?
Surfside faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion.
How is climate change expected to impact property values in Surfside?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline due to increased climate risks.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Surfside?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors during heatwaves.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Surfside?
Consult local council flood maps and emergency services websites for information about flood risks and preparedness.
What measures are being taken to protect Surfside from coastal erosion?
Coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, may be implemented to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections