Climate Risk Profile: Stockrington, NSW

Stockrington, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Stockrington faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for hotter, drier conditions and potential disruptions to infrastructure and services.

Is Stockrington Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Stockrington, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Stockrington

Flood

Stockrington faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns

Bushfire

Stockrington has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Stockrington experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

As an inland suburb, Stockrington has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Stockrington

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Stockrington experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Stockrington faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns
Data source

coastal Risk

As an inland suburb, Stockrington has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Stockrington has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and support residents in developing bushfire survival plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Community Resilience

Long-term

Promote community engagement and build social networks to enhance resilience to climate-related disasters.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Stockrington's Climate Risk Profile

Stockrington, NSW, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards, with flooding and bushfires posing the most significant threats. The suburb's location and topography contribute to its vulnerability to these events.

Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall and overflowing of local waterways. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. This poses risks to property, infrastructure, and human safety.

Bushfires are another major concern for Stockrington, particularly during the dry season. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and hot, windy conditions can quickly spread flames. Climate change is expected to worsen bushfire conditions, with longer fire seasons and more intense fires.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense in Stockrington, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. Rising average temperatures can also impact infrastructure and energy demand.

While Stockrington is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the impacts of climate change on other regions can indirectly affect the suburb through supply chain disruptions and population displacement.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Stockrington?

The main climate change risks for Stockrington are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Stockrington?

Climate change could potentially decrease property values in high-risk areas due to increased flood and bushfire risks.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Stockrington?

You can prepare for bushfires by maintaining firebreaks, developing a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Stockrington?

Information about flood risks in Stockrington can be found on the local council's website and through the NSW State Emergency Service.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Stockrington?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Stockrington, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Stockrington, NSW | ClimateNest