Climate Risk in St Ives, NSW
St Ives faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a threat. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.
Is St Ives Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for St Ives, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for St Ives
Flood
St Ives faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. Development patterns and stormwater infrastructure contribute to the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
St Ives has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
St Ives experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
St Ives has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for St Ives
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
St Ives experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
St Ives faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. Development patterns and stormwater infrastructure contribute to the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Stormwater capacity
coastal Risk
St Ives has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
St Ives has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risks.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
ImmediateConduct regular bushfire hazard reduction activities and educate residents on bushfire preparedness.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwave events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to reduce water consumption through rebates and educational programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance community resilience
Near-termFoster community networks and support systems to help residents cope with climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout St Ives's Climate Risk Profile
St Ives, located in the Ku-ring-gai Council area of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the risk of bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. Climate projections indicate a higher frequency of extreme fire weather days in the future.
Flooding is another significant concern for St Ives. Heavy rainfall events can overwhelm stormwater systems, leading to localized flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, exacerbating flood risks. Residents should be aware of flood-prone areas and take necessary precautions.
Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a threat to St Ives. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk during heatwave events. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during periods of extreme heat.
While St Ives is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could indirectly affect the suburb. Taking proactive steps to adapt to climate change is essential to protect the community and maintain its quality of life.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Ku-ring-gai Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing St Ives?
St Ives is primarily at risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Refer to the NSW RFS website for detailed guidance.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find information on flood risks in St Ives?
Ku-ring-gai Council provides flood maps and information on flood preparedness on their website.
How is Ku-ring-gai Council addressing climate change?
Ku-ring-gai Council has a sustainability strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Are there any community groups in St Ives focused on environmental sustainability?
Yes, there are several local groups involved in environmental initiatives. Check the Ku-ring-gai Council website for a list of community groups.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in St Ives, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections