Climate Risk in St Ives Chase, New South Wales
St Ives Chase is a suburb with moderate climate change risks, primarily from bushfires and flooding. Heatwaves are also a growing concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is St Ives Chase Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for St Ives Chase, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for St Ives Chase
Flood
St Ives Chase faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and drainage systems. Properties in low-lying areas are more vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
Bushfire
St Ives Chase has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
St Ives Chase experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, are particularly at risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
St Ives Chase has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for St Ives Chase
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
St Ives Chase experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, are particularly at risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
St Ives Chase faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local creeks and drainage systems. Properties in low-lying areas are more vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
coastal Risk
St Ives Chase has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
St Ives Chase has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
- 2.Review flood maps
- 3.Assess property's heat resilience
- 4.Consider insurance costs
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Prepare a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateDevelop and practice a bushfire survival plan with your family, including evacuation routes and emergency contacts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home's Bushfire Resilience
Near-termInstall ember guards, clear gutters, and maintain a defensible space around your home to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreInstall Rainwater Tanks
Long-termInstall rainwater tanks to capture and store rainwater for non-potable uses, reducing reliance on mains water during droughts.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCreate a Flood Emergency Kit
Near-termPrepare a flood emergency kit with essential supplies, including food, water, medications, and important documents.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout St Ives Chase's Climate Risk Profile
St Ives Chase, located in the Ku-ring-gai Council area, faces increasing climate change risks. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates the bushfire risk, while heavy rainfall events can lead to flooding in low-lying areas. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations.
The primary climate hazards for St Ives Chase are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is driven by dry conditions and proximity to bushland. Flooding is exacerbated by increased rainfall intensity and urban development. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to rising global temperatures.
Climate projections indicate that these risks will continue to increase in the coming decades. By 2030 and 2050, St Ives Chase is expected to experience more frequent and intense bushfires, increased flooding, and more severe heatwaves. These changes will impact property values, insurance costs, and the overall livability of the suburb.
Residents and property owners should take steps to mitigate these risks. This includes maintaining bushfire-safe properties, preparing for floods, and taking precautions during heatwaves. The local council is also working to develop climate adaptation strategies to protect the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Ku-ring-gai Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in St Ives Chase?
The main climate change risks in St Ives Chase are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires?
You can prepare your home for bushfires by installing ember guards, clearing gutters, maintaining a defensible space around your home, and developing a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activities, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
You can find information about local flood risks on the Ku-ring-gai Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Is climate change expected to impact property values in St Ives Chase?
Climate change is expected to impact property values in St Ives Chase, particularly in areas that are at high risk of bushfires or flooding. Properties in these areas may experience a decrease in value.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in St Ives Chase, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections