Climate Risk in South Turramurra, NSW
South Turramurra is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires. The risk of these hazards is projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.
Is South Turramurra Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for South Turramurra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Turramurra
Flood
South Turramurra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
South Turramurra has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
South Turramurra experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
South Turramurra has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Turramurra
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
South Turramurra experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events projected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
South Turramurra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. Properties in low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
South Turramurra has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
South Turramurra has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value or slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Prepare a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateDevelop and practice a bushfire survival plan with your family, including evacuation routes and emergency contacts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home's Flood Resilience
Near-termInstall flood barriers, elevate electrical appliances, and ensure proper drainage to minimize flood damage.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCreate a Defensible Space
ImmediateMaintain a clear area around your home by removing dry vegetation and flammable materials to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall Air Conditioning or Cooling Systems
Near-termInstall air conditioning or other cooling systems to mitigate the impacts of increasing heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreSupport Local Climate Action Initiatives
Long-termParticipate in local initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout South Turramurra's Climate Risk Profile
South Turramurra, located in the Ku-ring-gai Council, is a suburb with a mix of residential areas and bushland. This proximity to natural areas contributes to the suburb's high bushfire risk, especially during dry seasons. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire events.
Flooding is another significant concern for South Turramurra. Heavy rainfall can cause creeks and waterways to overflow, impacting properties in low-lying areas. The increasing intensity of rainfall events due to climate change will likely increase the frequency and severity of flooding in the suburb.
While the suburb is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the overall impact of climate change, including rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves, will affect the community. It's important for residents to take measures to mitigate these risks and adapt to the changing climate.
Understanding these risks and taking proactive steps can help protect properties and ensure the safety and well-being of the community. This includes preparing for emergencies, maintaining properties to reduce fire hazards, and supporting local initiatives to address climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Ku-ring-gai Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in South Turramurra?
The main climate risks in South Turramurra are flooding and bushfires, with increasing heatwaves also being a concern.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire in South Turramurra?
You can prepare your home by creating a defensible space, maintaining your property, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a flood in South Turramurra?
During a flood, stay informed about warnings, avoid driving through floodwaters, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
How is the Ku-ring-gai Council addressing climate change?
The Ku-ring-gai Council has implemented various sustainability initiatives and is working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to climate change impacts.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in South Turramurra?
You can find more information about flood risks on the Ku-ring-gai Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Are there any community groups in South Turramurra focused on environmental sustainability?
Yes, there are several community groups in the Ku-ring-gai area that focus on environmental sustainability. Check the Ku-ring-gai Council website for a list of local groups and initiatives.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in South Turramurra, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections