Climate Risk in South Hurstville, NSW

South Hurstville, New South Wales· Georges River· 2221
Updated May 2026

South Hurstville is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these risks.

Is South Hurstville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for South Hurstville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Hurstville

Flood

South Hurstville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in South Hurstville is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

South Hurstville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

South Hurstville faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Georges River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Hurstville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

South Hurstville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

South Hurstville faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

South Hurstville faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Georges River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in South Hurstville is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry conditions
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood barriers, drainage improvements, and elevated building foundations to reduce flood damage.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Establish cooling centers, promote energy efficiency, and implement heatwave early warning systems to protect vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal erosion control measures, protect and restore coastal ecosystems, and plan for managed retreat in vulnerable areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water-efficient landscaping, rainwater harvesting, and greywater recycling to reduce water demand during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About South Hurstville's Climate Risk Profile

South Hurstville, located in the Georges River region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to the Georges River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further exacerbating this risk.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for South Hurstville. As global temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a threat to public health, especially for elderly and vulnerable residents. The urban heat island effect can also amplify these impacts.

Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to South Hurstville. The Georges River estuary is susceptible to inundation and erosion, which could damage property and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to accelerate sea level rise, increasing the risk of coastal hazards.

Residents and businesses in South Hurstville should take proactive measures to adapt to these climate risks. This includes investing in flood protection measures, improving building energy efficiency, and developing emergency preparedness plans. Collaboration between local government, community organizations, and residents is essential to building a climate-resilient community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in South Hurstville?

The main climate change risks in South Hurstville are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in South Hurstville?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Properties that are more resilient to climate change may retain their value better.

What is the council doing to address climate change in South Hurstville?

Georges River Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to reduce the risks of climate change in South Hurstville. These plans include measures to improve flood defenses, enhance heatwave preparedness, and strengthen coastal protection.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in South Hurstville?

You can take steps to protect your property from flooding, improve your home's energy efficiency, and develop an emergency preparedness plan. You can also support local initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in South Hurstville?

You can find more information about climate change risks in South Hurstville on the Georges River Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in South Hurstville, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections