Climate Risk in South Granville, NSW

South Granville, New South Wales· City of Parramatta· 2142
Updated May 2026

South Granville faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's location near waterways increases flood risk, while urban density exacerbates heat during summer. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heatwaves and potential flood events.

Is South Granville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for South Granville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Granville

Flood

South Granville has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Duck River and other waterways. Several properties are located in or near flood zones.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

South Granville has a low risk of bushfire. While some areas have vegetation, the suburb is primarily urbanized, reducing the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Limited vegetation
  • ·Urban density

Heat

South Granville experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban density and limited green spaces contribute to the urban heat island effect.

Key drivers:

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change

Coastal

South Granville has a very low risk of coastal hazards. It is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal erosion or sea level rise.

Key drivers:

  • ·Inland location
  • ·Elevation

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Granville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

South Granville experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban density and limited green spaces contribute to the urban heat island effect.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change
  • ·Limited green spaces
Data source

flood Risk

South Granville has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Duck River and other waterways. Several properties are located in or near flood zones.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

South Granville has a very low risk of coastal hazards. It is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal erosion or sea level rise.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Inland location
  • ·Elevation
  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

South Granville has a low risk of bushfire. While some areas have vegetation, the suburb is primarily urbanized, reducing the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Limited vegetation
  • ·Urban density
  • ·Fire management practices
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a negative impact on property values.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Upgrade and expand drainage systems to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Increase Green Spaces

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heat Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Promote cool roofs, reflective pavements, and other measures to reduce surface temperatures.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Flood Early Warning Systems

Immediate

Establish a comprehensive flood early warning system to alert residents and businesses of impending flood events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About South Granville's Climate Risk Profile

South Granville, located in the western suburbs of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are flooding and heatwaves, driven by increased rainfall intensity and the urban heat island effect.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to Duck River and other local waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Properties located near these waterways are particularly at risk.

Heatwaves pose another substantial threat. The urban environment of South Granville, characterized by dense development and limited green spaces, traps heat, leading to higher temperatures during summer. This can result in heat stress and health problems, especially for vulnerable populations.

While bushfire risk is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb, it is still important to maintain awareness and preparedness. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. Improving drainage infrastructure, increasing green spaces, and implementing heat mitigation measures are crucial steps to protect the community and enhance resilience.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in South Granville?

The main climate risks in South Granville are flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to Duck River increases flood risk, while urban density exacerbates heat during summer.

How is the council addressing flood risks?

The City of Parramatta is upgrading drainage infrastructure, maintaining flood maps, and providing information on flood risks to residents.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing window coverings and insulation to reduce heat in your home.

Are there any community programs to help residents adapt to climate change?

The City of Parramatta offers various programs and resources to help residents adapt to climate change, including workshops and outreach programs. Check the council website for details.

Will climate change affect my property value in South Granville?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a negative impact on property values. It's important to assess the property's vulnerability to climate risks and consider adaptation measures.

Where can I find more information about emergency preparedness?

The NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website provides information on emergency preparedness, including flood and storm safety tips.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in South Granville, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for South Granville, NSW | ClimateNest