Climate Risk in South Coogee, NSW

South Coogee, New South Wales· Randwick· 2034
Updated May 2026

South Coogee faces a combination of climate-related risks, including flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is South Coogee Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for South Coogee, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Coogee

Flood

South Coogee faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation. The risk is exacerbated by the suburb's proximity to the coast and low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in South Coogee is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

South Coogee experiences a high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, further amplifying the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

South Coogee faces a moderate to high risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise, coastal erosion, and storm surges. The suburb's coastal location makes it vulnerable to these impacts.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Coogee

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

South Coogee experiences a high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, further amplifying the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

South Coogee faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation. The risk is exacerbated by the suburb's proximity to the coast and low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

South Coogee faces a moderate to high risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise, coastal erosion, and storm surges. The suburb's coastal location makes it vulnerable to these impacts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in South Coogee is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard reports.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Coastal Defenses

Near-term

Invest in seawalls, beach nourishment, and other coastal protection measures to mitigate erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Urban Green Spaces

Immediate

Increase tree canopy cover and create more green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops, online resources, and community events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About South Coogee's Climate Risk Profile

South Coogee, a coastal suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the coast makes it particularly susceptible to sea level rise, coastal erosion, and storm surges. These hazards pose a threat to properties, infrastructure, and the local community.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are also a significant concern for South Coogee. The urban environment exacerbates the heat island effect, leading to higher temperatures and increased health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Flooding is another risk factor, with heavy rainfall events and coastal inundation posing a threat to low-lying areas. The combination of these factors necessitates proactive adaptation measures to protect the suburb from the worst impacts of climate change.

Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing sustainable practices, investing in resilient infrastructure, and raising community awareness are crucial steps towards building a climate-resilient South Coogee.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for South Coogee?

South Coogee faces risks from sea level rise, coastal erosion, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will sea level rise affect South Coogee?

Sea level rise will lead to increased coastal erosion, inundation of low-lying areas, and damage to coastal infrastructure. Properties near the coast are particularly vulnerable.

What is the urban heat island effect, and how does it impact South Coogee?

The urban heat island effect is the phenomenon where urban areas experience higher temperatures than surrounding rural areas. This is due to the concentration of buildings, roads, and other surfaces that absorb and retain heat. South Coogee is affected by this, leading to higher temperatures during heatwaves.

What is Randwick Council doing to address climate change?

Randwick Council has implemented various initiatives to address climate change, including developing a climate action plan, investing in renewable energy, and promoting sustainable practices within the community.

How can residents prepare for heatwaves in South Coogee?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking shade, using air conditioning or fans, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. It's also important to be aware of the symptoms of heat stress and seek medical attention if needed.

Are there any specific areas in South Coogee that are more vulnerable to climate change impacts?

Yes, low-lying coastal areas are more vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Areas with limited green space are more susceptible to the urban heat island effect. Properties near bushland may face a higher bushfire risk.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in South Coogee, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections