Climate Risk in Sanctuary Point, NSW

Sanctuary Point, New South Wales· Shoalhaven· 2540
Updated May 2026

Sanctuary Point faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures.

Is Sanctuary Point Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Sanctuary Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Sanctuary Point

Flood

Sanctuary Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to St Georges Basin. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Sanctuary Point has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Sanctuary Point is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Sanctuary Point is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly at risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Sanctuary Point

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Sanctuary Point is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Sanctuary Point faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to St Georges Basin. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Sanctuary Point is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Sanctuary Point has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential climate-related repairs.
  • 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and ability to withstand extreme heat.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads around properties and improve bushfire preparedness.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas from erosion

Long-term

Implement erosion control measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Raise awareness about climate risks

Immediate

Educate residents about the impacts of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Sanctuary Point's Climate Risk Profile

Sanctuary Point, located on the shores of St Georges Basin, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall and sea level rise, bushfires due to hotter and drier conditions, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

The risk of flooding is heightened by the suburb's low-lying topography and proximity to the basin. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Sea level rise will further exacerbate this risk, inundating low-lying areas and damaging infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, as the surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires. Hotter and drier conditions, driven by climate change, will increase the likelihood of bushfires and make them more difficult to control. Residents should be prepared for potential evacuations and property damage.

Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. It is important to take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Coastal erosion is another threat, as sea level rise gradually erodes the shoreline. This can damage coastal properties and infrastructure, and disrupt recreational activities. Protecting the coastline through erosion control measures is essential.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Sanctuary Point?

The main risks are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to become more frequent and intense due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Consider raising the property, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage. Check the council's flood maps for your property's risk level.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Stay informed about fire danger ratings and follow the advice of emergency services. Prepare a bushfire survival plan and evacuate if necessary.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Shoalhaven City Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, including improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire risk, and promoting energy efficiency.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Sanctuary Point?

You can find more information on the Shoalhaven City Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Sanctuary Point, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Sanctuary Point, NSW | ClimateNest