Climate Risk in Salisbury, New South Wales

Salisbury, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Salisbury faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to mitigate their impact.

Is Salisbury Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Salisbury, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Salisbury

Flood

Salisbury faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Salisbury is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of hot, dry days
  • ·Accumulation of dry vegetation

Heat

Salisbury is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Salisbury is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from coastal inundation and erosion is low.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Salisbury

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Salisbury is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Salisbury faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Salisbury is not directly exposed to coastal hazards. The risk from coastal inundation and erosion is low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Salisbury is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of hot, dry days
  • ·Accumulation of dry vegetation
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads and improve firebreaks to protect properties from bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving measures to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Salisbury's Climate Risk Profile

Salisbury, NSW, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks, including flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb's location and climate make it vulnerable to these hazards, which are projected to worsen with climate change.

Flooding is a significant concern for Salisbury, particularly in low-lying areas and near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity due to climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of floods, potentially causing damage to property and infrastructure.

Bushfires also pose a threat to Salisbury, especially during dry periods. The risk of bushfires is influenced by surrounding bushland and dry vegetation. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather, making it crucial for residents to take precautions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Salisbury, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures and the urban heat island effect contribute to this risk. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves and protect themselves from heat stress.

While coastal risks are low, the other climate hazards require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and environment.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Salisbury?

Salisbury faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Salisbury?

Increased climate risks may negatively impact property values in Salisbury.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Salisbury?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Salisbury?

Check the local council's website and the NSW SES website for flood maps and information.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Salisbury?

Maintain your property, clear vegetation, and prepare a bushfire survival plan.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Salisbury, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Salisbury, NSW | ClimateNest