Climate Risk Profile: Roseville Chase, NSW
Roseville Chase faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these events, requiring residents to take proactive adaptation measures.
Is Roseville Chase Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Roseville Chase, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Roseville Chase
Flood
Roseville Chase faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Properties close to creeks are most vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
Bushfire
The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Heat
Roseville Chase is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Due to its inland location, Roseville Chase has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Roseville Chase
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Roseville Chase is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Roseville Chase faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Properties close to creeks are most vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
coastal Risk
Due to its inland location, Roseville Chase has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to reduce heat stress.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire hazard reduction
ImmediateRegularly clear vegetation around properties and implement bushfire protection measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall heat-reflective roofing
Long-termUse heat-reflective roofing materials to reduce indoor temperatures and energy consumption.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a community emergency plan
Near-termCreate a community-based emergency plan to prepare for and respond to climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termImplement water conservation measures to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Roseville Chase's Climate Risk Profile
Roseville Chase, like many suburbs in the Sydney region, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall events, bushfire risk due to proximity to bushland, and heatwaves that can strain infrastructure and public health.
Flooding is a significant concern, particularly for properties located near creeks and low-lying areas. Increased urban development can exacerbate runoff, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Bushfire risk is heightened during dry periods and heatwaves, requiring residents to maintain their properties and be prepared for evacuation.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of individual preparedness, community-level adaptation measures, and government policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and build resilience to climate change impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Ku-ring-gai Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Roseville Chase?
The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a concern due to increased rainfall intensity, while bushfires are a risk due to proximity to bushland. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property by checking flood maps, elevating appliances, and ensuring proper drainage. Consider installing flood barriers if your property is in a flood-prone area.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
Reduce your bushfire risk by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
Ku-ring-gai Council is implementing various initiatives to address climate change, including improving stormwater drainage, promoting energy efficiency, and developing a climate resilience strategy.
Where can I find more information about emergency preparedness?
You can find more information about emergency preparedness on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections