Climate Risk in Rosehill, NSW

Rosehill, New South Wales· City of Parramatta· 2142
Updated May 2026

Rosehill is a suburb in Western Sydney that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The area's proximity to the Parramatta River increases its vulnerability to flooding, while urban density contributes to the urban heat island effect. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events in the future.

Is Rosehill Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rosehill, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosehill

Flood

Rosehill faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Parramatta River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Rosehill is relatively low due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with more bushland pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Rosehill is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in Rosehill due to its distance from the open coastline. Sea level rise is unlikely to have a direct impact on the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosehill

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Rosehill is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Rosehill faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Parramatta River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in Rosehill due to its distance from the open coastline. Sea level rise is unlikely to have a direct impact on the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Rosehill is relatively low due to the urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with more bushland pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Immediate

Invest in infrastructure upgrades to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Increase Urban Green Space

Near-term

Increase the amount of green space in Rosehill to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve community resilience.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Raise Awareness of Climate Risks

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through community workshops and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Rosehill's Climate Risk Profile

Rosehill, located in Western Sydney, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are expected to intensify in the coming decades. The most significant threat is flooding, driven by increased rainfall intensity and the suburb's location near the Parramatta River. The low-lying topography of some areas further exacerbates this risk, making them particularly vulnerable to inundation during heavy rainfall events.

Heatwaves also pose a considerable risk to Rosehill residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, trapping heat and raising temperatures above those in surrounding areas. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, placing additional strain on the community and local infrastructure.

While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of New South Wales, it is not entirely absent. Surrounding areas with more vegetation could pose a threat during periods of prolonged drought and high winds. It is essential for residents to maintain awareness of bushfire safety and preparedness.

Coastal risks are minimal in Rosehill due to its distance from the coast. However, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the suburb. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Rosehill?

The main climate change risks in Rosehill are flooding, heatwaves, and to a lesser extent, bushfires. Flooding is exacerbated by the suburb's proximity to the Parramatta River, while heatwaves are intensified by the urban heat island effect.

How will climate change affect property values in Rosehill?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. However, properties that are well-adapted to climate risks may maintain or increase in value.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Rosehill?

The City of Parramatta is implementing various climate adaptation measures, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing a heatwave action plan, and increasing urban green space.

How can I prepare my home for flooding in Rosehill?

You can prepare your home for flooding by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring that your property is properly insured.

What should I do during a heatwave in Rosehill?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosehill, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Rosehill's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Rosehill, NSW | ClimateNest