Climate Risk in Rosebery, NSW

Rosebery, New South Wales· City of Sydney· 2018
Updated May 2026

Rosebery is a suburb in Sydney facing moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Rosebery Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rosebery, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rosebery

Flood

Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Rosebery has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Rosebery is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Rosebery faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rosebery

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Rosebery is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover
Data source

flood Risk

Rosebery faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

coastal Risk

Rosebery faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Rosebery has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to green spaces
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Increase green spaces

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal protection measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

About Rosebery's Climate Risk Profile

Rosebery, located in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying areas make it susceptible to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity. Rising temperatures and the urban heat island effect will likely lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to residents.

Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to Rosebery. These factors could lead to coastal inundation and erosion, potentially damaging infrastructure and property. The community needs to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved stormwater management, increased green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and coastal protection measures. Residents should also be aware of emergency plans and take steps to protect their homes and families.

Understanding the specific risks and taking appropriate adaptation measures will be crucial for ensuring the long-term resilience and sustainability of Rosebery in the face of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Rosebery?

Rosebery faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Rosebery?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Rosebery?

The City of Sydney is implementing various strategies to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including improving stormwater drainage and increasing green spaces.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Rosebery?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Rosebery?

You can find flood maps and information on the City of Sydney website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rosebery, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Rosebery's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Rosebery, NSW | ClimateNest