Climate Risk in Roseberry, NSW

Roseberry, New South Wales· City of Sydney· 2018
Updated May 2026

Roseberry, NSW, faces a medium overall climate risk. The suburb is particularly vulnerable to heatwaves and flooding, with increasing risks projected due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Roseberry Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Roseberry, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Roseberry

Flood

Roseberry faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Roseberry has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from significant bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Roseberry is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Roseberry faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise impacts on nearby coastal areas. While not directly on the coast, infrastructure and communities could be affected.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Roseberry

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Roseberry is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Roseberry faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Roseberry faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise impacts on nearby coastal areas. While not directly on the coast, infrastructure and communities could be affected.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Roseberry has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from significant bushland. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurers are likely to increase premiums in response to increased flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement urban greening

Immediate

Increase tree canopy cover and green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Create a community-based plan to support vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen building codes

Near-term

Update building codes to require new buildings to be more resilient to heatwaves and flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Educate residents on climate risks

Long-term

Provide information and resources to help residents understand and prepare for climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Roseberry's Climate Risk Profile

Roseberry, located in New South Wales, is an inner-city suburb that is increasingly exposed to climate change impacts. The primary risks include heatwaves, flooding, and potential impacts from sea level rise affecting nearby coastal areas.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat, especially to vulnerable populations like the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect further intensifies these risks, making adaptation measures crucial.

Flooding is another concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Proactive measures to manage stormwater and protect properties are essential.

While Roseberry is not directly on the coast, sea level rise and coastal erosion in adjacent areas could indirectly impact the suburb through infrastructure and economic disruptions. Monitoring and planning for these potential impacts are important.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness, community-level initiatives, and government policies. By taking proactive steps, Roseberry can enhance its resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Roseberry?

The main risks are heatwaves, flooding, and potential impacts from sea level rise affecting nearby coastal areas.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Roseberry?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing window coverings and insulation to reduce heat in your home.

What should I do during a flood in Roseberry?

Stay informed about weather warnings, avoid driving through floodwaters, and move to higher ground if necessary. Follow instructions from emergency services.

Is my property in Roseberry at risk of flooding?

Check the City of Sydney's flood maps to determine if your property is in a flood-prone area. Contact the council for more information about flood mitigation measures.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Roseberry?

The City of Sydney has a climate action plan that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve energy efficiency, and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Roseberry?

Consult the City of Sydney's website, the NSW Office of Environment and Heritage, and the Bureau of Meteorology for the latest information and resources.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Roseberry, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Roseberry's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections