Climate Risk in Rose Bay, New South Wales
Rose Bay faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are key concerns for the suburb.
Is Rose Bay Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rose Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rose Bay
Flood
Rose Bay has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Rose Bay has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a risk during extreme weather conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Rose Bay is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Increased temperatures can pose health risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Rose Bay faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. The suburb's proximity to the coastline makes it vulnerable to these impacts.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rose Bay
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Rose Bay is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Increased temperatures can pose health risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Rose Bay has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Rose Bay faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. The suburb's proximity to the coastline makes it vulnerable to these impacts.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Rose Bay has a relatively low risk of bushfire due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, nearby parks and reserves could pose a risk during extreme weather conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Increased premiums possible due to flood and coastal risks
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and council data
- 2.Assess property's elevation and drainage
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise
- 4.Review insurance options and costs
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure
Near-termImprove the capacity and resilience of stormwater drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect and restore coastal ecosystems
Long-termProtect and restore coastal ecosystems such as mangroves and saltmarshes to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote water-sensitive urban design
Near-termEncourage the use of water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Rose Bay's Climate Risk Profile
Rose Bay, located in Sydney's eastern suburbs, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the coast and low-lying areas make it susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents.
Flooding is a major concern for Rose Bay, with heavy rainfall events leading to stormwater runoff and potential inundation. Sea level rise is exacerbating this risk, as it increases the likelihood of coastal flooding and erosion. The suburb's aging infrastructure may also struggle to cope with the increased demands placed upon it by more frequent and intense storms.
Heatwaves are another significant threat, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress, dehydration, and other health problems. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and pavement, can further exacerbate the impact of heatwaves.
Coastal erosion is also a growing concern, as sea level rise and increased storm intensity threaten to erode the suburb's beaches and foreshores. This can damage property, disrupt recreational activities, and threaten the local ecosystem.
Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort from all levels of government, as well as the community. This includes investing in infrastructure upgrades, implementing adaptation measures, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Woollahra Municipal Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Rose Bay?
Rose Bay faces significant risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are key concerns.
How will sea level rise affect Rose Bay?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion in Rose Bay, potentially damaging property and infrastructure along the foreshore.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Rose Bay?
Woollahra Municipal Council is implementing various measures to address climate change, including upgrading stormwater drainage infrastructure and promoting water-sensitive urban design.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Rose Bay?
During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Rose Bay?
You can find more information about flood risks in Rose Bay on the Woollahra Municipal Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rose Bay, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Rose Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections