Climate Risk Assessment for Rollands Plains, NSW

Rollands Plains, New South Wales· Port Macquarie-Hastings· 2441
Updated May 2026

Rollands Plains faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Rollands Plains Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rollands Plains, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rollands Plains

Flood

Rollands Plains faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hastings River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Bushfire

The area around Rollands Plains has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Hot temperatures

Heat

Rollands Plains experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Rollands Plains is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rollands Plains

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Rollands Plains experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Rollands Plains faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hastings River and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Flash flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Rollands Plains is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Rollands Plains has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Hot temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat.
  • 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Management

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including hazard reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Develop a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen River Banks

Long-term

Reinforce river banks along the Hastings River to mitigate flood risks and protect properties.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Rollands Plains's Climate Risk Profile

Rollands Plains, located in the Port Macquarie-Hastings region of New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The most significant risk is flooding, due to its proximity to the Hastings River and low-lying topography. Intense rainfall events can cause the river to overflow, inundating homes and businesses. Flash flooding is also a concern during heavy downpours.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a threat during hot, dry conditions. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, increasing the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses. While coastal hazards are minimal due to its inland location, the broader region is still affected by changes in weather patterns.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will likely worsen in the coming decades. Rainfall intensity is expected to increase, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Temperatures will continue to rise, exacerbating heatwave conditions. Residents and property owners should take steps to prepare for these changes.

Adaptation measures are crucial to protect the community and reduce the impacts of climate change. These include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management strategies, and developing heatwave response plans. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to building resilience.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Port Macquarie-Hastings Council

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Rollands Plains?

The main climate risks in Rollands Plains are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is the most significant risk due to the proximity of the Hastings River. Bushfires are a concern due to surrounding bushland, and heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

How can I prepare for flooding in Rollands Plains?

To prepare for flooding, you should check flood maps to understand your property's risk, have an evacuation plan, and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage. Consider raising your home or installing flood barriers if your property is at high risk.

What should I do during a heatwave in Rollands Plains?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments if possible. Drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activities, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members. Seek medical attention if you experience symptoms of heatstroke.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Rollands Plains?

To protect your property from bushfires, maintain a clear fire break around your home, remove flammable materials from your yard, and have a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage and consider installing fire-resistant building materials.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Rollands Plains?

The Port Macquarie-Hastings Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, developing bushfire management plans, and promoting energy efficiency. They also provide resources and information to help residents prepare for climate risks.

Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Rollands Plains?

You can find more information about climate change projections for Rollands Plains on the CSIRO website and the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website. These resources provide detailed data and analysis on future climate scenarios.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rollands Plains, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections