Climate Risk Assessment for Rocky Point, NSW
Rocky Point faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these impacts.
Is Rocky Point Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rocky Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rocky Point
Flood
Rocky Point is located near the Georges River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Rocky Point has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban density. However, areas closer to bushland may experience higher risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Vegetation dryness
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Rocky Point experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Rocky Point is located near the coast and may be exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The risk is expected to increase over time.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rocky Point
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Rocky Point experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Rocky Point is located near the Georges River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Rocky Point is located near the coast and may be exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The risk is expected to increase over time.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Rocky Point has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and urban density. However, areas closer to bushland may experience higher risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Vegetation dryness
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect coastal areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreRaise community awareness
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, online resources, and community events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Rocky Point's Climate Risk Profile
Rocky Point, NSW, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related challenges. Its proximity to the Georges River makes it susceptible to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events becoming more frequent.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Rocky Point. As global temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and severe heatwaves, posing a threat to the health of vulnerable residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.
Being near the coast, Rocky Point is also vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise. Coastal erosion and inundation could become more common, potentially affecting property values and infrastructure.
While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of NSW, it is still a factor to consider, especially for properties located closer to bushland areas. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Georges River Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Rocky Point?
The main climate risks in Rocky Point are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.
How will climate change affect Rocky Point in the future?
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and flooding events, and sea level rise will pose a greater threat to coastal areas.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Rocky Point?
You can take steps to reduce your risk of flooding, such as elevating your home and purchasing flood insurance. You can also take steps to protect yourself from heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Rocky Point?
You can find more information about climate change in Rocky Point on the Georges River Council website and the NSW government website.
Is my property at risk of flooding?
You can check the Georges River Council flood maps to see if your property is located in a flood-prone area.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rocky Point, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections