Climate Risk Profile: Redfern, NSW

Redfern, New South Wales· City of Sydney· 2016
Updated May 2026

Redfern faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's urban environment and location contribute to these vulnerabilities, which are projected to worsen with climate change.

Is Redfern Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Redfern, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Redfern

Flood

Redfern faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Redfern is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.

Key drivers:

  • ·Urban density
  • ·Limited vegetation

Heat

Redfern is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risk is very low in Redfern due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Redfern

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Redfern is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the problem.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Lack of green spaces
Data source

flood Risk

Redfern faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is very low in Redfern due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Redfern is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from significant bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Urban density
  • ·Limited vegetation
  • ·Distance from bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in flood-prone areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood zones may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood risk maps.
  • 2.Assess property drainage.
  • 3.Consider cooling options for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Invest in upgrading drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Urban Greening Initiatives

Near-term

Increase green spaces and tree canopy cover to mitigate the urban heat island effect and provide shade during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures, such as preparing for floods and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Sensitive Urban Design

Long-term

Incorporate water sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Redfern's Climate Risk Profile

Redfern, an inner-city suburb of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks stem from increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The suburb's low-lying areas and existing drainage infrastructure are challenged by heavier rainfall, increasing the likelihood of flash flooding. Climate change projections indicate that these rainfall events will become more frequent and intense, placing greater strain on the suburb's infrastructure and potentially impacting residential and commercial properties.

Heatwaves pose another significant threat, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect, caused by the concentration of buildings and paved surfaces, exacerbates the impact of heatwaves, making Redfern hotter than surrounding areas. Increased green spaces and cooling strategies are needed to mitigate this effect.

While bushfire and coastal risks are relatively low in Redfern, the suburb is not entirely immune to the indirect impacts of these hazards. Ember attack from distant bushfires and disruptions to supply chains due to coastal erosion elsewhere could still affect the community.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in improved drainage infrastructure, urban greening initiatives, and community awareness programs. By taking proactive steps, Redfern can enhance its resilience and protect its residents from the growing impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Redfern?

The main climate change risks in Redfern are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and more frequent and severe heatwaves.

How is the City of Sydney Council addressing climate change?

The City of Sydney Council has a climate change adaptation strategy that outlines measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can I do to prepare for a flood in Redfern?

You can prepare for a flood by checking flood risk maps, assessing your property's drainage, and having an emergency plan in place.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Redfern?

You can stay safe during a heatwave by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Are there any cooling centers in Redfern during heatwaves?

The City of Sydney Council may open cooling centers during heatwaves. Check their website for locations and operating hours.

Will climate change affect property values in Redfern?

Climate change may affect property values in flood-prone areas. Properties in these areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Redfern, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections