Climate Risk Profile: Rankins Springs, NSW

Rankins Springs, New South Wales· 2665
Updated May 2026

Rankins Springs faces moderate risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is projected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for hotter summers and increased fire danger.

Is Rankins Springs Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Rankins Springs, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Rankins Springs

Flood

Rankins Springs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local watercourses. The flat terrain contributes to water accumulation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

The area surrounding Rankins Springs has a notable bushfire risk due to the presence of dry grasslands and agricultural land. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Rankins Springs experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Rankins Springs is located far inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Rankins Springs

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Rankins Springs experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to potential heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (limited)
Data source

flood Risk

Rankins Springs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local watercourses. The flat terrain contributes to water accumulation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Rankins Springs is located far inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Rankins Springs has a notable bushfire risk due to the presence of dry grasslands and agricultural land. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop an emergency plan.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community heatwave plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of localized flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire mitigation measures

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads around properties and improve access for firefighting equipment.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water and implement water-efficient landscaping practices.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Rankins Springs's Climate Risk Profile

Rankins Springs, located in the Riverina region of New South Wales, is a small rural community primarily engaged in agriculture. The area's climate is characterized by hot, dry summers and mild winters, making it susceptible to various climate-related hazards.

The primary climate risks for Rankins Springs include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The surrounding grasslands and agricultural lands create a significant bushfire risk during the dry season. Rising temperatures and prolonged heatwaves pose a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. Heavy rainfall events can lead to localized flooding, impacting infrastructure and property.

Climate change projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in the region. This includes more frequent and severe heatwaves, prolonged droughts, and an increased risk of bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns may also lead to more intense flooding events.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including community education, infrastructure improvements, and land management strategies. Residents should take steps to prepare for extreme weather events, such as developing emergency plans and maintaining their properties to reduce fire risk. Local authorities should invest in infrastructure upgrades to improve drainage and reduce flood risk.

Furthermore, sustainable land management practices can help to mitigate the impacts of climate change. This includes promoting soil health, reducing erosion, and conserving water resources. By working together, the community of Rankins Springs can build resilience to climate change and ensure a sustainable future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Rankins Springs?

Rankins Springs faces risks from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Rankins Springs?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Rankins Springs?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

How can I reduce my property's risk of bushfire damage?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain your gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Rankins Springs?

You can find flood maps and information on the NSW Government website and the Carrathool Shire Council website.

Is Rankins Springs likely to run out of water due to climate change?

Water availability may be affected by changes in rainfall patterns. Conserving water is important to ensure a sustainable water supply.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Rankins Springs, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Rankins Springs, NSW | ClimateNest