Climate Risk in Randwick, NSW

Randwick, New South Wales· Randwick· 2031
Updated Apr 2026

Randwick is a coastal suburb in Sydney facing moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, which are expected to increase in severity over time. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures.

Is Randwick Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Randwick, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Randwick

Flood

Randwick faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. Areas near low-lying coastal regions and waterways are more vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Randwick is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, areas bordering parks and reserves may experience some risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

Randwick experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas with limited green space are more susceptible to the urban heat island effect.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Randwick faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying coastal areas and beaches are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Randwick

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Randwick experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban areas with limited green space are more susceptible to the urban heat island effect.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Randwick faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and stormwater runoff. Areas near low-lying coastal regions and waterways are more vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

coastal Risk

Randwick faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying coastal areas and beaches are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Randwick is relatively low due to its urban environment and limited vegetation. However, areas bordering parks and reserves may experience some risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal erosion.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard reports.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote green infrastructure

Near-term

Increase tree canopy cover and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve stormwater management.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Immediate

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Randwick's Climate Risk Profile

Randwick, located in Sydney's eastern suburbs, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity and proximity to coastal waterways. The suburb also experiences high heatwave risk, exacerbated by the urban heat island effect. Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion, pose a threat to beachfront properties and infrastructure.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. Rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and severe heatwaves, while increased rainfall and sea level rise will exacerbate flooding and coastal erosion. These changes could have significant impacts on property values, infrastructure, and community well-being.

Local authorities are taking steps to address these challenges, including implementing stormwater management strategies, developing heatwave response plans, and investing in coastal protection measures. However, individual residents and businesses also have a role to play in adapting to the changing climate.

This includes measures such as improving home insulation, installing rainwater tanks, and participating in community-based adaptation initiatives. By working together, the community can build resilience and mitigate the impacts of climate change in Randwick.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Randwick?

The main climate change risks in Randwick are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase in severity in the coming decades due to rising temperatures, increased rainfall, and sea level rise.

How is Randwick City Council addressing climate change?

Randwick City Council has implemented a range of initiatives to address climate change, including stormwater management strategies, heatwave response plans, and coastal protection measures. The council is also working to reduce its carbon footprint and promote sustainable practices.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Randwick?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Randwick City Council provides information and resources on heatwave safety.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Randwick?

To protect your property from flooding, ensure that your gutters and downpipes are clear, install a backflow prevention device, and consider raising the level of your property. Randwick City Council provides information on flood mitigation measures.

What is being done to protect Randwick's beaches from coastal erosion?

Randwick City Council is implementing a range of measures to protect Randwick's beaches from coastal erosion, including beach nourishment, dune restoration, and the construction of seawalls. The council is also monitoring coastal erosion and working to adapt to sea level rise.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Randwick?

You can find more information about climate change in Randwick on the Randwick City Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Randwick, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections