Climate Risk in Raleigh, NSW
Raleigh faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather conditions.
Is Raleigh Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Raleigh, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Raleigh
Flood
Raleigh faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Raleigh has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Raleigh is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Located inland, Raleigh's coastal risk is moderate, primarily influenced by potential impacts on regional infrastructure and economies. Sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Raleigh
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Raleigh is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Raleigh faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Located inland, Raleigh's coastal risk is moderate, primarily influenced by potential impacts on regional infrastructure and economies. Sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Raleigh has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase in the future due to the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.
Price Impact
Properties in areas more exposed to climate risks may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about the property's insurance history and premiums.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Management
Long-termImplement coastal management strategies to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Raleigh's Climate Risk Profile
Raleigh, NSW, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. Its location makes it susceptible to flooding, particularly with increasing rainfall intensity due to climate change. The risk of bushfires is also a concern, as hotter and drier conditions are expected to become more frequent.
Heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, especially vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves can also strain infrastructure, such as the electricity grid.
While Raleigh is not directly on the coast, it is indirectly affected by coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges can impact regional infrastructure and economies, which can have flow-on effects for the suburb.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including adaptation measures to reduce vulnerability and mitigation efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bellingen Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Raleigh?
Raleigh faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How will climate change affect property values in Raleigh?
Properties in areas more exposed to climate risks may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Raleigh?
You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, and develop a plan for coping with heatwaves. Stay informed about local climate risks and adaptation measures.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Raleigh?
You can find more information on the Bellingen Shire Council website, the NSW government website, and the CSIRO website.
Is Raleigh a good place to invest in property given climate change?
Raleigh presents both opportunities and risks for property investment. While the area offers a desirable lifestyle, potential buyers should carefully consider the projected impacts of climate change, including increased flood risk, bushfire danger, and heatwave frequency. Conducting thorough due diligence, including assessing a property's vulnerability to these hazards and understanding potential insurance implications, is crucial for making an informed investment decision. Properties with robust adaptation measures in place may offer greater long-term resilience and value.
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This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Raleigh, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections