Climate Risk Profile: Purfleet, NSW

Purfleet, New South Wales· MidCoast· 2430
Updated May 2026

Purfleet faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Purfleet Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Purfleet, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Purfleet

Flood

Purfleet faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Purfleet has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Purfleet is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Purfleet is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Purfleet

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Purfleet is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Purfleet faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Purfleet is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Purfleet has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Management

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Develop a heatwave response plan and provide cooling centers for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness

Long-term

Raise community awareness about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops and educational materials.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Purfleet's Climate Risk Profile

Purfleet, located in the MidCoast region of New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The primary concern is flooding due to its proximity to the Manning River. Increased rainfall intensity and potential sea level rise are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland posing a threat, particularly during hotter and drier periods. Climate change models predict an increase in the frequency and intensity of bushfires in the region.

Heatwaves are another growing concern for Purfleet. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress, especially among vulnerable populations. The urban environment may also contribute to the urban heat island effect, further amplifying temperatures.

While coastal risks are minimal, the overall impact of climate change on Purfleet necessitates proactive adaptation measures. These include improving flood defenses, managing bushfire risks, and implementing strategies to mitigate the effects of heatwaves. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Purfleet?

Purfleet faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change.

How is the council addressing flood risks in Purfleet?

The MidCoast Council is implementing flood mitigation strategies, including improving drainage and building levees.

What can residents do to prepare for bushfires?

Residents can clear vegetation around their homes, prepare a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about heatwave preparedness?

Information about heatwave preparedness can be found on the NSW Health website.

Are there any community programs to help residents adapt to climate change?

The MidCoast Council offers various community programs and workshops to raise awareness about climate change and adaptation measures.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Purfleet, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Purfleet, NSW | ClimateNest