Climate Risk Profile: Pimlico Island, NSW

Pimlico Island, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Pimlico Island faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Pimlico Island Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Pimlico Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Pimlico Island

Flood

Pimlico Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Clarence River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is relatively low on Pimlico Island due to its island geography and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could increase the risk of grass fires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Pimlico Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Pimlico Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could damage infrastructure and property, and displace residents.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Pimlico Island

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Pimlico Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Pimlico Island is at a high risk of flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to the Clarence River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Pimlico Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could damage infrastructure and property, and displace residents.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is relatively low on Pimlico Island due to its island geography and limited vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could increase the risk of grass fires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and coastal erosion.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by the increasing risk of climate change hazards.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on the property.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and seawalls to protect low-lying areas from flooding and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Implement a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Home Foundations

Long-term

Elevate homes and businesses to reduce the risk of flood damage.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Install Rainwater Tanks

Near-term

Install rainwater tanks to conserve water and reduce stormwater runoff.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Plant Native Vegetation

Long-term

Plant native vegetation along the coastline to stabilize the soil and reduce erosion.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Pimlico Island's Climate Risk Profile

Pimlico Island, located in the Clarence River, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The island's low elevation makes it susceptible to flooding from increased rainfall and rising sea levels. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including heatwaves and coastal storms, further exacerbating these risks.

The primary concern for Pimlico Island is the increasing risk of flooding. The Clarence River is prone to flooding, and climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe floods. This could inundate homes and businesses, damage infrastructure, and disrupt essential services.

In addition to flooding, Pimlico Island is also at risk from heatwaves. As temperatures rise, the island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which could pose a significant health risk, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Coastal erosion is another significant threat to Pimlico Island. Sea level rise is expected to erode the island's coastline, potentially damaging property and infrastructure. Increased storm surge could also inundate low-lying areas, further exacerbating the risk of coastal erosion.

Addressing these climate risks will require a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government. This includes implementing adaptation measures to reduce the impacts of climate change, such as improving flood defenses, developing heatwave response plans, and protecting coastal areas.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Pimlico Island?

The main climate change risks for Pimlico Island are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values on Pimlico Island?

Climate change may negatively impact property values on Pimlico Island due to the increasing risk of flooding and coastal erosion.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding on Pimlico Island?

You can protect your home from flooding by raising the foundations, installing flood barriers, and purchasing flood insurance.

How can I prepare for heatwaves on Pimlico Island?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the local council doing to address climate change on Pimlico Island?

The Clarence Valley Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.

Where can I find more information about flood risks on Pimlico Island?

You can find more information about flood risks on the Clarence Valley Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Pimlico Island, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Pimlico Island, NSW | ClimateNest