Climate Risk Profile: Picton, NSW
Picton is a suburb in the Wollondilly Shire, NSW, that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. The area is also subject to increasing heatwaves. Residents should stay informed and prepared for potential climate-related events.
Is Picton Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Picton, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Picton
Flood
Picton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Stonequarry Creek and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Picton has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Picton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures during summer months. Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Picton is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Picton
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Picton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures during summer months. Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Picton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Stonequarry Creek and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding, impacting residential and commercial areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Picton has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk during the bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience slower price growth.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
- 4.Consider potential impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
Near-termCreate a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Picton's Climate Risk Profile
Picton, located in the Wollondilly Shire of New South Wales, is a historic town with a growing population. The suburb's climate is characterized by warm summers and mild winters, but it is increasingly vulnerable to climate change impacts.
Flooding is a significant concern for Picton due to its proximity to Stonequarry Creek and other waterways. Intense rainfall events can cause flash flooding, affecting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
Bushfire risk is also high in Picton, as the suburb is surrounded by bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds during the bushfire season can create dangerous conditions. Residents need to be prepared and aware of bushfire safety measures.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Picton, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated and take precautions during periods of extreme heat.
While Picton is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as sea-level rise and extreme weather events, can indirectly affect the region. Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort from residents, businesses, and local government.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wollondilly Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Picton?
The main climate risks in Picton are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Picton?
You can prepare for flooding by staying informed about flood warnings, having an emergency plan, and protecting your property with sandbags or flood barriers.
What should I do during a bushfire in Picton?
During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your home by clearing vegetation and having a water supply.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Picton?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Picton?
You can find more information about climate change in Picton from the Wollondilly Shire Council, the NSW Government, and the CSIRO.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections